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Guotai Junan: A shares are expected to go out of the New Year's market. Recently, Guotai Junan's 2025 strategy meeting will be held in Shenzhen. The conference made an in-depth discussion and comprehensive outlook on the hot topics of market concern and the investment strategy in 2025. Fang Yi, chief strategist of Guotai Junan, said in an interview that the bottom of the A-share market has emerged, which is optimistic about the prospects of China stock market. The key driving force for the market to start comes from the decline of risk-free interest rate and the boost of risk preference. After a long period of continuous adjustment, the pessimistic expectation and microstructure of A-shares are fully clarified, and the positive signal of decision-makers to steady economic growth and support the capital market is an important cornerstone for the upward revision of long-term expectations and the elevation of the bottom of the stock market. Looking forward to the A-share market in 2025, Fang Yi said that there is still room for the optimistic policy expectation at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, and A-shares are expected to go out of the New Year's market. However, in the case of rising geopolitical conflict risks, the stock index may face a staged headwind. However, as the market stabilizes and revises the economic and policy expectations, the stock index is expected to strengthen again in the second half of 2025. (shanghai securities news)During the year, A-share companies threw out nearly 1,000 single and medium-term cash dividend plans. According to Wind statistics, as of December 11th, 940 listed companies have thrown out 994 single and medium-term cash dividend plans this year, with the number of them increasing by 269.41% year-on-year. The total amount of dividends involved was 667.519 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 166.24%. Among them, 791 orders have been implemented, and dividends have reached 360.768 billion yuan; 203 single pending implementation, the total amount of dividends to be paid is 306.751 billion yuan. (Securities Daily)The situation in Syria has turned around? The airport in Damascus will be reopened after lifting the curfew. On the 11th local time, the Syrian "Sharm Liberation Organization" announced the lifting of the curfew in the capital Damascus since the 8th, and called on the Syrian people to return to work. On the same day, the person in charge of Damascus International Airport said that the airport will be reopened in "the next few days" and flights can be resumed quickly. (CCTV News)

CICC: The CPI of the United States rose as scheduled in November, but it did not hinder the interest rate cut. CICC released a research report saying that the CPI and core CPI of the United States both rose to 0.31% in November, which was basically in line with the market and its expectations. For the post-election policies, if the immigration and tariff policies are too radical, it will bring pressure to inflation at the end of next year, which will have an impact on the market and even the mid-term elections. Therefore, before the mid-term elections, due to the "realistic constraints" of inflation, the inflation policy will be faster, but the scope may be limited, while the growth policy will be faster, and then the overall assets will still be positive. According to the difference between the natural interest rate and the real interest rate, CICC estimates that after the interest rate cut in December, there may still be two or three interest rate cuts in 2025, with the end point of interest rate cut at 3.5-3.75% and the center corresponding to long-term US debt at 3.8-4%.Morgan Stanley upgraded the rating of Shandong Gold H shares to over-allocation, with a target price of HK$ 22.20.The Iraqi Foreign Minister talked with the French Foreign Minister to discuss the situation in Syria and combat extremism. On December 11th, local time, Iraqi Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Fuad Hussein talked with French Foreign Minister Barrow. During the call, the two sides agreed that the extremist organization "Islamic State" should be prevented from rebuilding its power. At the same time, the two countries should continue to carry out joint anti-terrorism operations in Syria and Iraq and continue to maintain cooperation in strengthening regional security and stability. The two foreign ministers discussed the security, military and political situation in Syria, and discussed the impact of the Syrian situation on Iraq and the region. The two sides stressed the need to promote the comprehensive political settlement of the Syrian issue led by the United Nations, ensure the full participation of all ethnic groups in Syria and safeguard their rights. The two sides agreed that in addition to communication with relevant countries and Syria's neighbors (including Turkey, Jordan, Lebanon and other Arab countries), Iraq and France should also continue bilateral coordination.

The two-wheel drive robot industry in the policy market is welcoming the expansion period. The reporter was informed that many places have successively issued relevant policies for the development of the robot industry, planned development goals, and refined measures around improving basic innovation capabilities, accelerating the demonstration application of "robot+"innovation, and promoting the accelerated agglomeration of business entities to accelerate the innovation and development of the robot industry. Recently, Hangzhou released the Development Plan of Humanoid Robot Industry in Hangzhou (2024-2029). Chongqing, Nanjing, Sichuan Tianfu New District and other places have also issued relevant policies to promote the development of the robot industry, and based on the current situation and advantages of industrial development in various regions, promote the further development of the robot industry. Gao Chao, deputy general manager of CCID Consulting Advanced Manufacturing Research Center, said that the scale of China's robot industry is expected to grow to about 400 billion yuan during the Tenth Five-Year Plan period. While accelerating the overall development level of the robot industry, building an industrial innovation system and strengthening product application and promotion have also become the focus of multi-party efforts. Policy and market two-wheel drive have further opened up the development space for robot-related enterprises. (Economic Information Daily)Spot platinum just broke through the $940.00/oz mark, and the latest price was $940.90/oz, up 0.58% in the day; The main force of Nymex platinum futures recently reported $951.9 per ounce, up 0.12% in the day.Morgan Stanley upgraded the rating of Jingao Technology to over-allocation, with a target price of RMB 27.36. Tongwei shares will be upgraded to overweight with a target price of RMB 39.53.